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Developing a time to default regression model to predict the time to default



Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara
Planned maintenance scheduled April 23, 2019 at 23:30 UTC (7:30pm US/Eastern)
2019 Moderator Election Q&A - Questionnaire
2019 Community Moderator Election ResultsR plot(surv(), newdata=…) draws same lines many times - why?Forecasting an individual based on a representative groupPredict the best time of callRegression model to predict probability of rare eventHow can I use machine learning methods on modelling time series data?Predict task durationSurvival Analysis: Pseudo Observation Vs Stratified Cox Regression. Which one is better?Predict future value with time period using non linear regression modelTraining NLP with multiple text input featuresMaking a model to predict the error of another model










0












$begingroup$


Background:



I used XGBoost to develop a probability model to get a probability measure of a particular loan defaulting. The results are very satisfactory, now my task is to develop a time-to default regression model to predict the time to default. I thought of the Cox Proportional Hazard model or a fully parametric survival model.



Question:



Are there any models anyone would recommend? Also is it possible to use the probability measures I get from XGBoost to develop a model that would give the expected time to default? (The data set is not a time series why? because at time of purchase of the loans we do not have historical payment history). Not sure if this is a suitable question for the site but just wanted to seek some advice.










share|improve this question









$endgroup$
















    0












    $begingroup$


    Background:



    I used XGBoost to develop a probability model to get a probability measure of a particular loan defaulting. The results are very satisfactory, now my task is to develop a time-to default regression model to predict the time to default. I thought of the Cox Proportional Hazard model or a fully parametric survival model.



    Question:



    Are there any models anyone would recommend? Also is it possible to use the probability measures I get from XGBoost to develop a model that would give the expected time to default? (The data set is not a time series why? because at time of purchase of the loans we do not have historical payment history). Not sure if this is a suitable question for the site but just wanted to seek some advice.










    share|improve this question









    $endgroup$














      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      Background:



      I used XGBoost to develop a probability model to get a probability measure of a particular loan defaulting. The results are very satisfactory, now my task is to develop a time-to default regression model to predict the time to default. I thought of the Cox Proportional Hazard model or a fully parametric survival model.



      Question:



      Are there any models anyone would recommend? Also is it possible to use the probability measures I get from XGBoost to develop a model that would give the expected time to default? (The data set is not a time series why? because at time of purchase of the loans we do not have historical payment history). Not sure if this is a suitable question for the site but just wanted to seek some advice.










      share|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      Background:



      I used XGBoost to develop a probability model to get a probability measure of a particular loan defaulting. The results are very satisfactory, now my task is to develop a time-to default regression model to predict the time to default. I thought of the Cox Proportional Hazard model or a fully parametric survival model.



      Question:



      Are there any models anyone would recommend? Also is it possible to use the probability measures I get from XGBoost to develop a model that would give the expected time to default? (The data set is not a time series why? because at time of purchase of the loans we do not have historical payment history). Not sure if this is a suitable question for the site but just wanted to seek some advice.







      machine-learning regression xgboost survival-analysis






      share|improve this question













      share|improve this question











      share|improve this question




      share|improve this question










      asked Apr 3 at 18:50









      WolfyWolfy

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